Barring some act of God, the Democratic Party is going to get crushed in the midterms.

The president’s party usually loses House seats in off-year elections. Since 1946, the average loss has been 25 seats — which is scary enough for a Democratic Party that currently holds a 221-213 seat margin — but when the president has approval ratings below 50%, the typical loss has been 37 seats.

Mona Charen is policy editor of The Bulwark and host of the “Beg to Differ” podcast.

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